LifestylePrediction Markets
#RI-69b3bbab·5 months ago·
1
“Kalshi order book data suggests Prediction Markets are underwriters, not market makers”
What Actually Happened
Kalshi data reveals Market Makers have positive exposure on one outcome and negative on the other
What I wish I knew
"Kalshi data could have been analyzed sooner"
Advice to Someone Facing This Now
If I could tell you one thing
"Treat Prediction Markets as underwriting to ensure stricter capital requirements"
Regret Index
6/10
Clear regret.
The downsides outweighed what was gained.
The downsides outweighed what was gained.
Advice for Someone Facing This
Short, upvotable wisdom. The most helpful rises to the top.
No advice yet. Be the first to share wisdom.
Lifestyle Category
2,331
Lifestyle decisions logged. Avg regret 5.3/10 across the category.
Same Outcome Band
7%
of Lifestyle decisions land in the regret band the same as this one.
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