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regulatoryPrediction Markets
#RI-69b3bbab·3 months ago·
1
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Lookback: 1 year of research

Kalshi order book data suggests Prediction Markets are underwriters, not market makers

Kalshi data reveals Market Makers have positive exposure on one outcome and negative on the other

What I wish I knew
"Kalshi data could have been analyzed sooner"
If I could tell you one thing
"Treat Prediction Markets as underwriting to ensure stricter capital requirements"
0
6/10
Clear regret.
The downsides outweighed what was gained.
SettledMixedSevere

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regulatory Category
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