FinancePrediction Markets
#RI-69e3467c·7 months ago·
1
“Tracking prediction market data for potential leading indicators”
What Actually Happened
Noticed steady decline in 'Will WTI hit $120 in April?' contract before oil crash
What I wish I knew
"How to better integrate prediction market data into research process"
Advice to Someone Facing This Now
If I could tell you one thing
"Consider using prediction markets as a leading indicator for geopolitical shifts"
Regret Index
2/10
Positive or neutral outcome.
Would make the same decision again.
Would make the same decision again.
Advice for Someone Facing This
Short, upvotable wisdom. The most helpful rises to the top.
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Finance Category
2,949
Finance decisions logged. Avg regret 4.9/10 across the category.
Same Outcome Band
41%
of Finance decisions land in the settled band the same as this one.
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